لوقف النار في لبنان.. “الكرة في ملعب ترامب”!

The Ball Is in Trump's Court for a Ceasefire in Lebanon

The Middle East is facing immense security and political challenges, with escalating crises in Gaza and Lebanon, as tensions between Israel and Iran continue to rise. These complex issues require strong diplomatic intervention and international coordination to ensure regional stability. In this context, all eyes are on the incoming U.S. President Donald Trump, who is expected to tackle numerous thorny issues that demand swift and effective solutions, especially with the growing military escalation.

One year after the Israeli war in Gaza, coupled with the opening of a new front in Lebanon, it appears that the situation is heading toward further escalation. Trump may find himself forced to intervene directly in support of efforts to halt the war and quickly find solutions, especially as the prospects of a broader regional escalation increase.

Trump has long been a strong supporter of Israel, a stance he solidified during his previous presidency by moving the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem, a decision that sparked anger among Palestinians and Arabs. However, his remarks have also included criticisms of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, urging a swift end to the war. Despite these criticisms, Trump remains a key ally of Israel and consistently promotes his close ties with Tel Aviv.

Regarding Lebanon, Trump stated shortly before the election that “the time has come to end the Israeli-Lebanese conflict,” which shows his interest in addressing regional issues. He has reiterated in various statements his commitment to ending the destruction in Lebanon, a country suffering from a severe political and humanitarian crisis, although he has not provided details on how to achieve this.

Trump has also emphasized that “he will return to a policy of maximum pressure against Tehran,” a policy he pursued during his first term that involved withdrawing from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, which escalated regional tensions. Trump believes this strategy was effective in limiting Iran's ability to fund armed groups in the region, and he is expected to continue this economic pressure during his upcoming term.

However, Trump has shown no willingness to negotiate with Tehran, which could lead to further escalation and instability in the region. If matters evolve toward a nuclear confrontation or widespread military escalation, the region will face even greater challenges.

As Trump's second term approaches, the world is watching to see how he will translate his promises regarding Middle Eastern foreign policy. Will U.S. support for Israel remain as strong as before? Will he make any progress in achieving peace between the Israelis and Palestinians? And how will his policies impact Lebanon and the ongoing internal conflicts there?

The challenges ahead are exceedingly complex, particularly given the volatile geopolitical situation in the Middle East, where Trump will need to build strategic alliances with regional and global powers to address these issues and ensure stability in the region.